Lineup decisions, reviewed · 2019+

Superlatives

Paper contenders who flopped, afterthoughts who caught fire, and the points owners left on the bench. Projections + player detail from 2019.

+6
Biggest overachiever · Devion 2023 (proj 8th2nd)
55.7
Benched in a loss · Will Fuller V (France)
48.0
Clutchest · Patrick Mahomes won it late (2020)
Written Off, Then Delivered

Overachievers

Projected finish → actual
OwnerSeasonTeamProjectedFinishedClimbed
Devion2023Slime SZN8th2nd+6
Manny2025Get the GAT7th2nd+5
Tyler2019In Godwin We Trust9th4th+5
Devion2020Slime SZN7th2nd+5
Crock2021Los Angeles Nippers7th3rd+4
Dez2025Dez Harrison10th7th+3
DT2021Board Room Member5th2nd+3
Crock2023We Know The Truth7th4th+3
Chengy2022Happy Endings6th3rd+3
Beav2024Slauson Super Mall4th2nd+2

Teams the projections wrote off that finished near the top. Ranked by places climbed — where they were projected to finish (by average projected starter points) vs where they actually landed.

Great On Paper, Flopped

Underachievers

Projected finish → actual
OwnerSeasonTeamProjectedFinishedFell
Frost2023Trap House1st9th-8
Frost2025Trap House3rd8th-5
Crawf2021Wack Wack GOOSE3rd7th-4
Frost2019Trap House3rd7th-4
Meek2020WHAT WOULD MEEK DO?2nd6th-4
Dez2023Stone Cold Stunnas4th7th-3
AJ2020Bompton Sleepers5th8th-3
DT2019ImmaNut OnYouGuys6th9th-3
Crawf2022CHASE BANK BAGFUMBLERS1st4th-3
Frost2020Trap House1st4th-3

Paper contenders that tanked. Ranked by places fallen from their projected finish — hype met reality.

Points Left On The Bench

Costly Benchings

Benched in a loss
PlayerOwnerWhenBench Pts
Will Fuller VWRFrance2019 · Wk 5· lost55.7
Deshaun WatsonQBFrance2019 · Wk 5· lost51.7
Mike EvansWRFrost2022 · Wk 17· lost50.7
Drew BreesQBMeek2019 · Wk 14· lost50.1
Justin FieldsQBBeav2022 · Wk 9· lost49.7
Sammy WatkinsWRTyler2019 · Wk 1· lost47.8
Caleb WilliamsQBFrost2025 · Wk 9· lost44.7
Lamar JacksonQBCrock2019 · Wk 1· lost43.6
Josh AllenQBCrock2020 · Wk 15· lost41.7
James ConnerRBCrawf2021 · Wk 9· lost40.3
Jameis WinstonQBMeek2021 · Wk 1· lost39.6
Derek CarrQBMajae2020 · Wk 13· lost37.7

Highest single-game scores an owner left on the bench in a week they went on to lose. The ones that actually hurt.

Won It In The Last Game

Clutch

Estimated
PlayerOwnerWhenPlayer PtsWon by
Patrick MahomesQBMeek2020 · Wk 348.0+10.4
Raheem MostertRBCrock2023 · Wk 345.2+20.1
Russell WilsonQBChengy2020 · Wk 243.4+17.1
Kyler MurrayQBDevion2020 · Wk 743.1+28.0
Mark AndrewsTECrawf2021 · Wk 542.7+31.6
Aaron JonesRBChengy2019 · Wk 842.6+13.1
Christian McCaffreyRBCrock2022 · Wk 842.3+1.5
Josh AllenQBCrock2020 · Wk 1640.3+6.3
Justin HerbertQBChengy2021 · Wk 1140.3+35.6
Jayden DanielsQBMeek2024 · Wk 1739.8+11.8
Kyler MurrayQBDevion2020 · Wk 1539.1+7.1
CeeDee LambWRMeek2022 · Wk 1039.0+15.7

A starter in the owner's last-kicking game of the week whose points exceeded the final margin — they were the difference. Estimated from kickoff time, not a live running score.